Obama sides with Iran over Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, UAE...
Infidels | January 5, 2016 at 8:50 AM URL: http://wp.me/p23Ie6-6Ep
By Josh Rogin & Eli Lake
As
the cold war between Iran and Saudi Arabia heats up, the Barack Obama
administration is trying to straddle the fence and not take sides, but
its actions tell a different story — they all seem to favor Tehran.
Following the Saudi government’s announcement Saturday
that it had executed 47 prisoners, including a popular Shiite cleric,
the U.S. State Department did two things. First, it issued a statement
expressing concern that Riyadh’s actions were “exacerbating sectarian
tensions.” Then Secretary of State John Kerry called Iranian Foreign
Minister Javad Zarif, urging him to try to de-escalate the crisis.
Spokesmen for the White House and State Department on Monday
insisted
that the U.S. was not taking a side, and that Kerry was set to call
Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir. But U.S. and Arab diplomats tell
us that America’s Gulf allies, who feel most threatened by Iran, see
things very differently.
The
State Department has criticized Saudi Arabia before for executions and
its human rights record. But this time, its spokesman, John Kirby,
undermined the Saudi claim that Iran’s government was culpable for the
attacks on its embassy, noting in his opening statement that Iran
appears to have arrested some of those responsible.
What’s
more, the Saudis argue that this time the U.S. criticism went too far
because the cleric, Nimr al-Nimr, was inciting terrorism. “We do not
accept any criticism of the kingdom’s judicial system,” al-Jubeir said Sunday. “What happened was that those who have led terrorist operations that led to the killing of innocent people, were convicted.”
Following Saudi Arabia’s decision Sunday
to cut diplomatic ties and end Iran-bound commercial flights, Bahrain,
Sudan and the United Arab Emirates also downgraded relations. One senior
Gulf diplomat told us he expected other Sunni Arab states would follow
suit.
At
the root of the problem for Sunni Arab states is the nuclear deal
reached last summer by Iran and Western nations. When the White House
sold the pact to Congress and Middle Eastern allies, its message was
clear: Nothing in the deal would prevent the U.S. from sanctioning Iran
for non-nuclear issues. Yet that has not been the case.
Last
week, the Treasury Department balked at the last moment on sanctioning
11 entities and individuals it deemed responsible for helping the
Iranian government develop its ballistic missile program in violation of
United Nations sanctions. Treasury officials had told lawmakers the new
sanctions would be announced Dec. 30, but then the announcement never
came.
Hill
staffers briefed on the issue said that the State Department had
intervened at the last minute, following objections by the Iranian
government. A senior administration official told us the sanctions
weren’t dead and that the U.S. was still working through some remaining
issues, but didn’t specify any timetable.
A week earlier, Kerry wrote personally to
Zarif to assure him that the Obama administration could waive new
restrictions in a law passed by Congress that would require visas for
anyone who had visited Iran to enter the United States. The Iranian
government had objected that the visa requirement would violate the
terms of the nuclear agreement.
Yet
Iran’s sentencing of a U.S. journalist on espionage charges in
November, and its detention of a U.S.-Iranian dual national in October,
have led to no downgrade in relations. The State Department also
supported the International Atomic Energy Agency’s closing of its file
on Iran’s nuclear program, despite a report from that agencywhich
found weapons-related activities had continued to at least 2009, and
despite being denied unannounced on-site inspections at key Iranian
military facilities.
U.S.
officials tell us Iran has extraordinary leverage at this moment, as
the world waits for it to implement all of its obligations in the
nuclear deal. Iran has begun to remove stocks of low enriched uranium
per the agreement, but it still hasn’t made all of the modifications to
its nuclear reactor at Arak or completed other tasks it promised in the
deal. When Iran makes good on its obligations, most of the assets now in
foreign banks will be unfrozen, giving the regime a windfall of tens of
billions of dollars.
Critics
of the administration say the U.S. should take advantage of
the power it has before that money is freed up. “Our maximum leverage to
respond to serious non-nuclear issues is before implementation day,”
said Representative Mike Pompeo, a Republican member of the House
Intelligence Committee. “After implementation day, the Iranians get the
money and the sanctions are lifted.”
Aaron
David Miller, a former Middle East negotiator who is a vice president
at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, said that the
Obama administration sees the Iran deal as the one stabilizing factor in
a region that is increasingly spinning out of control, and is therefore
giving the U.S.-Iranian relationship top priority.
“The
Iranians hold the Obama legacy in their hands,” he said. “We are
constrained and we are acquiescing to a certain degree to ensure we
maintain a functional relationship with the Iranians.”
At
the same time, though, the U.S. is losing leverage over Iran and its
ability to influence the actions of the new Saudi leadership is also
waning. The Saudis have given up on building ties to the Obama
administration and are pursuing their own course until the next
president takes office. “It is the worst position for the great power,
because everyone says no to us without cost or consequence,” Miller
said.
On Monday,
White House press secretary Josh Earnest cited Kerry’s effort to
include Iran in talks over a political resolution in Syria as evidence
that the U.S. has played a constructive role in bridging the sectarian
gaps between the region’s most powerful Sunni and Shiite nations.
“The
United States has succeeded in leading the international effort to
bring all sides together to try to bring about a political resolution
inside of Syria,” Earnest said.
Yet
some experts believe that Kerry’s Syria peace process unfolding in
Vienna, which is premised on getting Iran and Saudi Arabia to work
together, is actually counterproductive. After all, during the first
meeting, the Iranian and Saudi foreign ministers traded accusationsof supporting terrorism before hardening their positions.
“I
don’t blame Obama-Kerry and Vienna for the Saudi-Iran blowup. But I do
think that the current situation underscores a hidden cost of endeavors
like Vienna,” said Michael O’Hanlon of the Brookings Institution.
“Riyadh may brush off any criticism from the U.S. as motivated by the
perceived interest of Obama in fostering rapprochement with Tehran,
reducing our odds of success.”
That’s
certainly the signal the Saudis are sending. At this point, the message
couldn’t be any clearer. If Obama won’t punish Iran, Saudi Arabia will.
|
Wednesday, January 6, 2016
OBAMA CHOOSES IRAN OVER SAUDI ARABIA - ANOTHER ALLY BITES THE DUST!
Submitted by: Conservative 2 Conservative
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