Save the Ukraine By Exporting Natural Gas
By Diana Furchtgott-Roth
Real Clear MarketsMarch 4, 2014
A prescient House Energy and Commerce Committee report released
last month, just in time for Russia's invasion of Ukraine, suggested
that "by becoming a natural gas exporter, the U.S. can supplant the
influence of other exporters like Russia and Iran while strengthening
ties with our allies and trading partners around the world."
President
Obama does not want to use military force to counteract Russia. His
2015 Budget, due out this week, will shrink the military still further.
But he has another weapon at his disposal, liquid natural gas exports.
Congress
and the president should without delay pass laws to make it easier to
export liquid natural gas. Such laws would help our allies and hit
Russia where it hurts, in the pocketbook.
More
than half of Ukraine's natural gas, and 30 percent of Europe's natural
gas, is provided by Russia. Russia gets about half of its revenue from
oil and gas.
LNG is cheaper in the United States than in Russia, so increasing America's exports of LNG would lower Russia's profits.
Last
fall, in a forum hosted on Capitol Hill, Zygimantas Pavilionis,
Lithuanian Ambassador to the United States and Mexico, said, "An ability
to import natural gas from the U.S., even very small amounts by U.S.
standards, would make a huge impact on the Lithuanian gas market and
allow the nation to develop a reliable alternative to Russian gas."
And
according to Jaroslav Zajicek, the Czech Republic's Deputy Chief of
Mission, "We have already seen examples where the Russian negotiating
position during contract-renewal talks was weakened thanks to decreasing
prices on the markets in Western Europe."
This
week natural gas for April delivery was trading at about $4.50 per
million British thermal units, compared to about $11 per million BTUs in
Europe.
America
is overtaking Russia as the world's largest oil and gas producer, and
could be exporting natural gas abroad. However, companies face barriers
because many believe that the United States should keep all its natural
gas, rather than exporting it. That is why it takes a long time to get
approval to build terminals to export LNG, and to get permits to export
LNG to countries without free trade agreements with the United States.
This
is misguided. America has massive natural gas expansion capacity, and
LNG exports are unlikely to harm U.S. manufacturing's comparative
advantage in cheap energy. Even if we export LNG, it will still be less
expensive in the United States, because of transportation costs.
If
companies want to sell to a country which has no free trade agreement
with the United States, they need approval from the Energy Department,
which can take years. America has free trade agreements with only 20
countries, and the Energy Department has approved only six LNG export
projects since 2011.
It
is not just in issuing LNG export permits that the federal government
is slow. Uncle Sam cannot make any energy decisions rapidly.
According
to data collected by the Institute for Energy Research, federal
drilling permits have become more difficult to acquire. Between fiscal
years 2006 to 2008 and 2009 to 2011, the number of permits approved fell
from 20,479 to 12,821. Moreover, between 2005 and 2011, the time it
took to acquire such a permit rose from 154 days to 307 days.
To get a better idea of how the federal government is slowing down the process, an August study by
the U.S. Government Accountability Office found that applications to
the Bureau of Land Management for drilling permits declined by 50%
between 2007 and 2012.
Plus,
the Bureau said in an internal memorandum that it has not been able to
process applications within a month, as is required to do by law.
Congress
and President Obama could immediately assist Ukraine and other
countries by amending the Natural Gas Act to ensure that the Energy
Department approved LNG export applications within a short period of
time.
Alternatively,
our government could also pass legislation allowing LNG to be exported
to all World Trade Organization members, irrespective of whether they
have free trade agreements with the United States.
Even better, Congress could go still further, and cease to require approval for LNG exports.
The
economic benefits of exporting LNG include more economic activity and
more employment at home. But the geopolitical benefits could be even
greater if we care, as we should, about freedom and democracy in
Ukraine.
Diana
Furchtgott-Roth is a contributing editor at RealClearMarkets. A former
chief economist at the U.S. Department of Labor, she directs www.economics21.org at the Manhattan Institute where she is a senior fellow. Follow her on Twitter: @FurchtgottRoth.
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