Experts: Invasion of Syria Could Lead to Nuclear War
Submitted by George Washington on 02/19/2016 12:26 -0500
Turkey previously shot down a Russian jet.
Now, Turkey and Saudi Arabia are threatening to invade Syria.
How dangerous could this get, in a worst case scenario?
Robert Parry – the investigative reporter who broke the Iran-Contra story for the Associated Press and Newsweek – wrote yesterday:
A source close to Russian President Vladimir Putin told me that the Russians have warned Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan that Moscow is prepared to use tactical nuclear weapons if necessary to save their troops in the face of a Turkish-Saudi onslaught. Since Turkey is a member of NATO, any such conflict could quickly escalate into a full-scale nuclear confrontation.
Washington’s Blog asked one of America’s top experts on Russia – Stephen Cohen, professor emeritus of Russian studies and politics at New York University and Princeton University, and the author of a number of books on Russia and the Soviet Union – what he thought of Parry’s claim.
Cohen said:
Parry is a serious man [“serious” is the highest compliment that an insider can give to someone]. I cannot say it will lead to nuke war, but it is very dangerous, as is quadrupling US/NATO forces near Russia’s borders.
Pavel Felgenhauer – a leading Russian military analyst – also believes that a nuclear war is “very likely” to arise from Russia’s skirmishes with Turkey in Syria.
Last December, U.S. Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard – a Member of the House Armed Services Committee, Iraq war veteran, and Major in the Hawaii Army National Guard – warned that U.S. policy in Syria could lead to a nuclear war. And see this.
Also in December, retired Lieutenant General Robert Gard, chairman emeritus of the Center for Arms Control and Nonproliferation, retired Brigadier General John H. Johns, professor emeritus from US National Defense University, and Leslie Gelb, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, penned an article in Foreign Policy calling for US-Russia cooperation to de-escalate current tensions and diffuse the increasing worrisome nuclear blustering.
American security expert Bruce Blair – a former nuclear-missile launch officer – notes that Turkey’s downing of the Russian warplane at the Syrian-Turkish border “fits a pattern of brinkmanship and inadvertence that is raising tensions and distrust between Russia and US-led NATO,” and that “this escalation could morph by design or inadvertence into a nuclear threat.”
Blair writes that the threat of nuclear war is higher now that during the Soviet era:
Russia has shortened the launch time from what it was during the Cold War. Today, top military command posts in the Moscow area can bypass the entire human chain of command and directly fire by remote control rockets in silos and on trucks as far away as Siberia in only 20 seconds.
Why should this concern us? History shows that crisis interactions, once triggered, take on a life of their own. Military encounters multiply; they become more decentralized, spontaneous and intense. Safeguards are loosened and unfamiliar operational environments cause accidents and unauthorized actions. Miscalculations, misinterpretations and loss of control create a fog of crisis out of which a fog of war may emerge. In short, the slope between the low-level military encounters, the outbreak of crisis and escalation to a nuclear dimension is a steep and slippery one.
(Indeed, the U.S. and Soviets came within seconds of all-out nuclear war on numerous occasions. And only the courage of U.S. and Soviet individuals to say no when their superiors told them to fire nuclear weapons – in the face of mistaken readings – saved the planet from nuclear war.)
Russia expert Stephen Cohen agrees that the risks of nuclear war are much higher than people know, telling the Commonwealth Club last year that the threat of nuclear war with Russia is now greater than it was with the Soviets.
Former U.S. Secretary of Defense William Perry agrees that the risk of nuclear war is higher than during the Soviet era.
Postscript: Top Russian, American and Polish experts also warn that continued fighting in Ukraine could lead to nuclear war.
Donald Hank's comment:
This is not about left vs right, Dems vs GOP (see article below). Both parties
are infested with people who are for all intents and purposes
warmongering Neocons who could give a rip whether planet earth survives
the next 4 years. Hillary is one and Obama seems to vacillate between
wanting the world to survive and pleasing the rabid Neocons.
We
have a few loonies on this list who have said if nuclear war breaks
out, it will be the fault of people like me who do NOT want to taunt
Russia. (Say what? So if I go to a bear cave in winter and try to awaken
the slumbering bruin, you will feel safer? Wanna come along and be the
first to jab at the slumbering bear with a stick? I'll be in the getaway
vehicle. Don't be late).
The fact that
Trump's poll numbers are still high indicate that the people are a cut
smarter than our "leaders," who continue to provoke and provoke, for
example, by unprecedented troop buildups at the Russian border and
constant war talk regarding Ukraine and Syria.
I keep saying anyone who wants to shoot down Russian jets in Syria obviously:
Hates
Christianity because without Assad, Syrian Christians won't survive --
and hates civilization because only a US-Russian coalition can prevent
ISIS from taking over the ME and then spreading to the US (they're
already destroying Europe).
Wants nuclear war.
I
have heard 3 GOP candidates say so far that they either want the US to
shoot down the Russian planes -- the only ones sincerely trying to stop
ISIS -- or they are really mad at Putin. Psycho Chris Christie said he
wants to punch Putin and sicko Kasich made a similarly unhinged
statement.
Their poll numbers show it was a failed ploy.
The
sickos stick to their guns, though, never taking a deep breath and
making the slightest attempt to analyze their own deadly words.
Don Hank
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