October 28,
2013
Doing more of what
failed spectacularly will not save the day a second time, as the scale
required to create yet more phantom collateral and more asset bubbles will
collapse the system.
The financial
storm clouds are gathering, ominously darkening the
horizon.Though the financial media and
the organs of state propaganda continue forecasting blue skies of recovery
and rising corporate profits, the factual evidence belies this rosy
forecast: internal measures of financial and economic activity are
weakening across the globe as the state-central bank solutions to all
ills–massive increases in credit creation, leverage and deficit
spending–have failed to address any of the structural causes of the 2008
Global Financial Meltdown.
This failure to
address the causes of 2008 Global Financial Meltdown is disastrous in and
of itself–but
the status quo has magnified the coming disaster by scaling up the
very causes of the 2008 Global Financial Meltdown: excessive credit
expansion, misallocation of capital on a grand scale, an opaque shadow
banking system constructed of excessive leverage and a dependence on
phantom collateral, i.e. risks and assets that are systemically mispriced
to skim stupendous profits for financiers, bankers and their political
enablers.
This is what I
have called doing more of what has failed
spectacularly.
Extremes
inevitably lead to collapse, but even the most distorted system has some
feedback mechanisms that attempt to counter the momentum toward
disaster. Just as the body will
try to mitigate the negative consequences of a diet of greasy fast food,
our grossly distorted financial and political systems still retain some
modest feedback loops that attempt to mitigate rising
risks.
These interactive
forces make it impossible to predict the moment of collapse, even as
systemic failure remains inevitable. Precisely when the heart of an obese,
unfit person who eats nothing but fast food will give out cannot be
predicted, but what can be predicted is the odds of systemic failure rise
with every passing day.
Doing more of what
has failed spectacularly–inflating new asset bubbles
in housing, stocks and bonds via quantitative easing, obfuscating
financial skimming operations with thousands of pages of new regulations,
and so on–is the equivalent of pushing an obese, unfit person to run
uphill. Rather than repair the system, doing more of what has failed
further stresses the system.
But even if the
financial system were cleansed of bad debt and phantom collateral, the
status quo would remain only partially repaired. For it’s not just the
financial system that has reached the point of negative return: the entire
economic foundation of the developed world–credit-dependent consumerism–is
as bankrupt and broken as the financial system that fuels
it.
The state’s
response to this economic endgame is depersonalized welfare, both
corporate and individual. When favored sectors
can’t succeed in the open market, the state enforces cartel-capitalism
that enriches the corporations at the expense of the citizenry. When the
cartel-state economy no longer creates paying work for the citizenry, the
state issues social welfare benefits, in effect paying people to stay home
and amuse themselves.
This destroys both
free enterprise on the corporate level and the source of individual and
social meaning, i.e. the opportunity to contribute in a meaningful way to
one’s community, family and trade/skill.The status quo is thus not just financially bankrupt–it is morally bankrupt as well.
The status quo is
as intellectually bankrupt as it is financially bankrupt. Our leadership cannot
conceive of any course of action other than central bank credit creation
and expanding state control of the economy and social benefits, paid for
with money borrowed from future generations.
Let’s take a wild
guess that the obese, unfit person won’t make it up the second hill, never
mind the third or fourth one. The status quo responded
to the financial heart attack of 2008 by doing more of what had failed
spectacularly. That injection of trillions of dollars, euros, yen,
renminbi, quatloos, etc. revived the global financial system in the same
way a shot of nitroglycerin resolves a life-threatening crisis: it doesn’t
fix the causes of the crisis, it simply gives the system some additional
time.
The next global
financial storm is already gathering on the horizon. Doing more of what
failed spectacularly will not save the day a second time, as the scale
required to create yet more phantom collateral and more asset bubbles will
collapse the system.
Intellectual,
moral and financial bankruptcy all go hand in hand. There isn’t just one
storm gathering on the horizon–there are three, each adding force and fury
to the other two.
Charles Hugh Smith –
Of Two Minds
|
Monday, October 28, 2013
OBAMA IS WORKING AT A FEVERISH PACE TO BANKRUPT AMERICA!
Submitted by: Donald Hank
"America
is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system, but too early
to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe
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