Breakout in Healthcare: Part IThis is the first in a series of newsletters on the concept of Breakout, a different approach to politics and governing that focuses on harnessing new breakthroughs to create a better American future. That approach is the subject of my new book, Breakout, which will be released November 4.
Here is a radical proposal
for the budget conference committee tasked with working out a spending
agreement: don’t impose pain on the American people just because
Washington refuses to do the hard work of managing itself responsibly.
The current framework for a
so-called “deal” is lose-lose. Republicans will agree to let Democrats
raise taxes if Democrats will agree to let Republicans cut entitlements.
Both sides are talking about how Washington can impose pain on the
American people and nobody is talking about fundamentally rethinking
Washington.
We could save trillions of
dollars if we ended the city’s absurd tolerance of waste and fraud. We
could save hundreds of billions by harnessing new science and technology
to make government dramatically more efficient and less expensive. Yet
neither side seems interested in exploring these alternatives to
imposing pain on the people.
What if new technology
could save $160 billion in Medicare and Medicaid costs over ten years?
Would that be enough to get the committee’s attention? Would Democrats
consider those savings as good as a tax hike? Would Republicans consider
them as good as an entitlement cut?
That level of savings is
exactly what Elizabeth Holmes, a young woman who dropped out of Stanford
ten years ago and used the rest of her college fund to start a company
called Theranos, believes she can deliver.
For a decade, Ms. Holmes
divulged almost nothing publicly about what the company was working on,
even as she drew more investment and hired hundreds of employees. Then,
last month, the company announced in an interview with the Wall Street Journal
that it would soon introduce a system to “automate and miniaturize more
than 1,000 laboratory tests, from routine blood work to advanced
genetic analyses.”
Theranos has developed technology that can perform all of these tests
much more accurately than current laboratories, and with just a few
drops of blood. The company will return the results electronically
within just a few hours.
Even more importantly than the greater precision and speed, Theranos has promised to deliver each of its tests for less than half
the Medicare rate. The company’s “conservative” estimate is that the
savings would add up to $157 billion in Medicare and Medicaid over ten
years, simply by adopting the newest technology for medical lab tests.
That is a huge reduction in spending without hurting anybody except
Theranos’s slower, more expensive, and less precise competitors.
Theranos has taken another revolutionary step that won’t make those competitors any happier: it’s publishing price and quality information publicly on its website. This is practically a declaration of war on the rest of the industry, which, as Joseph Rago notes in the Journal
interview, regards price and quality information more or less as a
trade secret. It’s no wonder prices are high and quality is low under
absurd agreements to obscure prices. That is the collusion Theranos is
attempting to break, and why the company may ultimately end up saving
taxpayers hundreds of millions of dollars. If only the budget committee
could be persuaded to consider it.
More breakthroughs to come in future newsletters.
Your Friend,
Newt
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